Ace Podium Ace Podium home

UK and Ireland · Machine learning

Every runner, ranked and rated.

Trained on UK and Irish racing form, the model ranks every runner and gives each a win probability.

UK and Ireland

Flat, hurdles, chase and bumper races are all scored the same way, from the same card the racecourse publishes.

A field of runners racing up the finish straight at Punchestown, with the rails and sponsor boards lining the track.

Every meeting, scored before the off.

The whole card is priced before the off, and every declared runner gets a number of its own.

Photograph by Florian Christoph, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Resized for the web.

Free to read

One race at every meeting is published free, every day. No account, no card details.

Today's card

Loading
The first race at each meeting today, with the model's three best-rated runners and their win probabilities.
Off Meeting Model's top three
Reading today's card.

How the model works

Method

A racehorse with a jockey up, walking off the track on bright green grass after a race.
Photograph by Florian Christoph, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons. Resized for the web.
01

One number for every runner

Each declared runner gets a win probability on a single scale, so a 33% favourite and a 4% outsider are directly comparable. The whole field is scored, not just the first three.

02

No horse is written off

Outsiders are priced as carefully as favourites. A double-figure price is a number to the model, not a reason to drop the horse from the reckoning.

03

Read as a race, not a list

Each runner is priced for the contest it is actually in. The same horse can come out very differently in a different field, and often does.

04

Published with the misses

Every priced race is stored and later checked against the result. Races the model gets wrong stay on the record page alongside the ones it gets right.

Racing is a gamble, and this is analysis rather than advice

Ace Podium publishes statistical analysis of horse races. A probability is not a promise, and no model wins every race. Nothing here is a guarantee of a return, and you should never stake more than you can afford to lose.

BeGambleAware.org and GamCare offer free and confidential support. You must be 18 or over to open an account.

Read the full card for today's meetings

New accounts start with 50 tokens, which unlocks five races. Monthly plans start at £9.99 and Ultimate opens the whole card.